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Refining margins likely to stay elevated through FY27 as supply chains normalise slowly: Jefferies

Refining margins likely to stay elevated through FY27 as supply chains normalise slowly: Jefferies
photo/ reuters

The brokerage said Singapore gross refining margins averaged $15.2 per barrel in FY27 so far, while gasoline, diesel and aviation fuel cracks stood at $38, $61 and $68 per barrel, respectively.

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Refining margins are likely to remain elevated through FY27 as disruptions to global oil supply chains take time to normalise, Jefferies said, even as crude flows through key West Asia routes have recovered to around 80 per cent of pre-conflict levels.

The brokerage said Singapore gross refining margins averaged $15.2 per barrel in FY27 so far, while gasoline, diesel and aviation fuel cracks stood at $38, $61 and $68 per barrel, respectively.

It attributed the strong margins partly to lower Russian refined product exports following attacks on the country's refining infrastructure, which have tightened the middle-distillates market.

"Normalisation of supply chains is likely to take time, likely supporting elevated margins over FY27,” Jefferies said, pointing to continued strength in the refining market despite some improvement in crude flows. – ANI
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