The rapid expansion of private credit to finance artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure could expose lenders to rising risks if expected returns from AI investments fail to materialise, Chamath Palihapitiya, CEO of 8090 and Social Capital, has warned.
In a post on X, Palihapitiya questioned whether the growing use of private credit to fund AI infrastructure could create a bubble, as technology companies increase spending on chips, data centres and other infrastructure.“The AI buildout is increasingly funded by debt, and private credit is playing a much bigger role than it did even a year ago,” he said, adding that Social Capital's research examined a key question: “Is private credit, which is funding a growing portion of the AI buildout, a bubble?”
According to the post, Apollo and Blackstone led a $35 billion vehicle in the second quarter of 2026 to buy chips and lease them to Anthropic. UBS described it as the largest private credit deal on record, Palihapitiya said. “For comparison, direct lenders made about $23 billion of loans to private-equity-backed U.S. companies that quarter,” he added.
The scale of financing requirements is expected to increase further. S&P Global forecasts that Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle and SpaceX (xAI) will spend around $870 billion in 2026 and more than $1.3 trillion in 2027, with debt, leases, equity issuance, and other financing sources helping fund the expenditure.
Palihapitiya said direct loans to US borrowers expanded nearly 25 times, from $96 billion in 2010 to $2.4 trillion in 2025. Lending to US software and technology companies grew around 45 times over the same period, from $22 billion to more than $1 trillion.
He said the company’s research examines refinancing risks, investor withdrawals, and differences in AI financing deals to assess whether private credit could become a source of financial stress as AI investment expands. - ANI
